You've seen Modesto Christian School. What are your child's real college odds? Check any college in 10 seconds — no email needed — then get the free Family Decision Report: Reach / Match / Likely + your real net price for every college on their list. Check odds →
💡

How Modesto Christian School compares for families

What families should know about Modesto Christian School.

  • LocallyCA trails the US average on NAEP 8th-grade math (−4 points). Stronger local schools matter even more.
  • vs Similar SchoolsThe closest comparables nearby: Brethren Heritage School, Ripon Christian Schools, Sierra View Christian and 5 more. See the sidebar to compare side-by-side.

For Parents

📬

Get alerts when Modesto Christian School's numbers change

New admissions results, enrollment shifts, test scores — a few alerts a year, no spam. Your email also saves your list across devices.

Objective, government-grade data — no school pays us for placement.

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment went from 262 in 2018 to 247 in 2022 — over 4 years.
-5.7%
Why only 3 data points?

Private school enrollment comes from the NCES Private School Universe Survey (PSS), which is collected every other year — not annually like public-school data. The most recent published collection is 2021–22; NCES targeted spring 2026 for the 2023–24 release — we'll load it as soon as it's published.

If the recent trend holds…

At its recent rate of -1.5%/year, projecting from 2022's 247 students:

2023
243
2025
236
2027
229

≈ 18 fewer students by 2027 — a real revenue/relevance risk worth getting ahead of.

An extrapolation of the recent trajectory, not a forecast of the school's plans; ignores one-off shocks.

Revenue at risk

At tuition per student, the 18 students projected to be lost by 2027 represent ≈ $288,000/year in tuition at risk.

Tuition is an editable estimate (PSS doesn't publish tuition) — set it to your school's figure.

Most similar nearby high schools

The schools most like this one — same type, blended on distance and size — and where their enrollment is heading. These are the schools families here weigh against each other.

SchoolTypeMilesHS enrollmentTrend
Brethren Heritage School
Modesto
Private 2.3 49
Ripon Christian Schools
Ripon
Private 3.2 801 +25.2%
Sierra View Christian
Ripon
Private 3.6 74
Central Catholic High School
Modesto
Private 6.6 379 +0.5%
Oakdale Christian Academy
Oakdale
Private 12.7 68
Central Valley Christian Academy
Manteca
Private 13.5 49
Hearthstone Christian
Waterford
Private 18.9 28
Turlock Christian Jr/Sr High School
Turlock
Private 19.5 540

For Parents

Researching colleges for your kid at Modesto Christian School?

Check any college's odds in 10 seconds — no email needed — then get the free Family Decision Report: Reach / Match / Likely with real admit odds and your real net price, for every college on their list.

Check your child's odds →
🎯 What are your child's odds? →