Research · College admissions · October 2026
Early decision admit rates beat the overall rate at every college that publishes both
As of October 2026: At all 24 colleges in our table that report both rates, the early decision rate beats the overall rate in the same file. The gap is smallest at Rice: 11.26 percent early against 8.01 percent overall. It is biggest at Tulane: 58.21 percent early against 14.46 percent overall.
The table holds all 30 colleges we checked. Each row shows the early and overall applicant and admit counts the college reports in its own Common Data Set. It does not say who the early applicants were.
Analysis: Test Prep Gurus (High School Reach, highschoolreach.com), October 2026. Figures and the table may be quoted with attribution to Test Prep Gurus.
The findings, in plain English
Every college that reports both rates admits more of its early applicants. That is true at all 24 colleges with both numbers. Johns Hopkins has the lowest early rate: 10.93 percent against 6.11 percent overall. Villanova has the highest: 59.82 percent against 28.14 percent overall. Northeastern has the widest gap: 43.05 percent early against 5.22 percent overall.
The gap is not a bump a student can count on. An early pool is not a small copy of the regular pool. It holds recruited athletes, legacy kids, and students so sure about one college that they promise to enroll if let in. Those students would look strong in any round. So the two rates in a row tell about two different groups. They are not the same kid's odds in two different months.
Four colleges run an early decision plan but report no early numbers. Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest each report an overall rate in the same file. Duke's is 5.24 percent. Chicago's is 4.48 percent. New York University's is 9.06 percent. Wake Forest's is 20.76 percent. All four leave the early decision applicant and admit fields empty. Those cells stay blank rather than carry a guess.
Early decision and overall admit rates, college by college
Sorted by early decision rate, lowest first; the six colleges that report no early rate come last.
| College | Entering class the figures describe | Early decision applicants | Early decision admits | Early decision admit rate | All applicants | All admits | Overall admit rate | College's own document |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johns Hopkins University | fall 2025 entrants | 7,639 | 835 | 10.9% | 50,259 | 3,072 | 6.1% | Source |
| Rice University | fall 2025 entrants | 5,748 | 647 | 11.3% | 36,791 | 2,948 | 8.0% | Source |
| University of Pennsylvania | fall 2025 entrants | 9,503 | 1,266 | 13.3% | 72,544 | 3,570 | 4.9% | Source |
| Columbia University | fall 2025 entrants | 5,868 | 819 | 14.0% | 59,611 | 2,946 | 4.9% | Source |
| Vanderbilt University | fall 2025 entrants | 6,202 | 874 | 14.1% | 48,196 | 2,593 | 5.4% | Source |
| Swarthmore College | fall 2025 entrants | 1,281 | 228 | 17.8% | 12,995 | 977 | 7.5% | Source |
| Brown University | ED figures: Fall 2024 entering class; totals: Fall 2025 (same CDS 2025-26) | 5,062 | 907 | 17.9% | 42,774 | 2,710 | 6.3% | Source |
| Cornell University | ED figures: Fall 2024 entering class; totals: Fall 2025 (same CDS 2025-26) | 10,057 | 1,889 | 18.8% | 72,523 | 6,077 | 8.4% | Source |
| Northwestern University | fall 2025 entrants | 5,939 | 1,212 | 20.4% | 52,676 | 3,933 | 7.5% | Source |
| Carnegie Mellon University | fall 2025 entrants | 2,680 | 553 | 20.6% | 34,867 | 3,859 | 11.1% | Source |
| Dartmouth College | fall 2025 entrants | 3,552 | 768 | 21.6% | 28,230 | 1,699 | 6.0% | Source |
| Claremont McKenna College | fall 2025 entrants | 978 | 216 | 22.1% | 6,939 | 655 | 9.4% | Source |
| Emory University | fall 2025 entrants | 4,728 | 1,049 | 22.2% | 37,561 | 3,869 | 10.3% | Source |
| Amherst College | fall 2024 entering class | 971 | 216 | 22.2% | 15,819 | 1,222 | 7.7% | Source |
| Williams College | fall 2025 entrants | 964 | 256 | 26.6% | 15,520 | 1,336 | 8.6% | Source |
| Washington University in St. Louis | fall 2025 entrants | 4,934 | 1,333 | 27.0% | 33,283 | 3,968 | 11.9% | Source |
| Middlebury College | fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) | 1,341 | 409 | 30.5% | 12,540 | 1,348 | 10.8% | Source |
| Boston University | fall 2025 entrants | 6,907 | 2,165 | 31.4% | 76,776 | 9,853 | 12.8% | Source |
| Tufts University | fall 2025 entrants | 3,344 | 1,071 | 32.0% | 33,395 | 3,612 | 10.8% | Source |
| Boston College | fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) | 4,288 | 1,434 | 33.5% | 34,779 | 5,632 | 16.2% | Source |
| Northeastern University | fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) | 3,466 | 1,492 | 43.0% | 98,425 | 5,133 | 5.2% | Source |
| Lehigh University | fall 2025 entrants | 2,040 | 966 | 47.4% | 19,342 | 5,601 | 29.0% | Source |
| Tulane University | fall 2025 entrants | 2,077 | 1,209 | 58.2% | 32,942 | 4,763 | 14.5% | Source |
| Villanova University | fall 2025 entrants | 1,680 | 1,005 | 59.8% | 25,841 | 7,272 | 28.1% | Source |
| University of Chicago | fall 2025 entrants | — | — | — | 45,533 | 2,039 | 4.5% | Source |
| Duke University | fall 2025 totals; ED counts left blank in CDS 2025-26 | — | — | — | 55,541 | 2,910 | 5.2% | Source |
| New York University | fall 2025 entrants | — | — | — | 114,125 | 10,340 | 9.1% | Source |
| Wake Forest University | ED dates: Fall 2024; ED counts left blank in CDS 2025-26 | — | — | — | 19,600 | 4,068 | 20.8% | Source |
| Pomona College | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Source |
| Wesleyan University | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
First-year applicants at 30 private colleges that run an early decision plan, as each college's own Common Data Set reports them in October 2026. The early counts come from the section on early decision; the overall counts are the same document's full first-year applicant and admit totals. Most rows describe the fall 2025 entering class, but some documents carry a header year that does not match the class their own figures describe, so read each row's cycle column. Admits are not enrollees, and the two rates in a row describe two different groups of applicants. A college that reports no early counts shows a blank, not a zero.
What the two rates in each row actually count
The early rate is the college's own count of early applicants and early admits. The overall rate is the same file's count of every first-year applicant and admit, early round included. So the early students sit inside the overall number. That is why the overall rate is not the same as a regular-round rate.
The year labels need care. Some of these files carry a header year that does not match the class their own numbers describe. Brown's early section is labeled for the fall 2024 class, but its overall totals are fall 2025. Amherst's header says 2025 to 2026, but every number in it is fall 2024. Each row's cycle column names the class its numbers are for. Trust that field over the header.
Where the numbers stop
Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest all confirm an early decision plan and print its dates. But each one leaves the early applicant and admit fields blank. Those four have an overall rate in our table and no early rate.
Wesleyan and Pomona have no readable Common Data Set. Wesleyan's data-set listing page did not open. Pomona posts its Common Data Set as an interactive dashboard, not a file. So neither college has numbers here.
Two rows carry a warning. Middlebury's early admit count of 409 leaves out its February admits. So its 30.5 percent is lower than its true early rate. Northeastern's most recent file is a cycle older than most of the others here.
What a family should do with this
Start with the promise, not the rate. Early decision is binding. A student who gets in must enroll, and the family must accept that college's aid offer with no other offer to compare it to. A family that needs to compare offers should pick early action or regular instead.
Then pick the one college. Early decision works for a single first choice. A student with three equal favorites does not have one. Visit the college. Read the cost estimate from its own net price calculator. Then ask: would the answer still be yes in April?
Use the table for the college your kid wants most. Read its early rate next to its overall rate. Check which class the cycle column names. Then check the college's own page for this year's dates. A rate from last year's class is history, not a forecast.
Questions parents ask
Does early decision really improve my kid's chances?
At all 24 colleges in our table that report both rates, the early decision rate beats the overall rate in the same file.
So why is the higher rate not a straight advantage?
An early pool is not a small copy of the regular pool. It holds recruited athletes, legacy kids, and students so sure about one college that they promise to enroll if let in.
Why do some colleges have no early decision rate here?
Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest each report an overall rate in the same file. Duke's is 5.24 percent. Chicago's is 4.48 percent. New York University's is 9.06 percent. Wake Forest's is 20.76 percent. All four leave the early decision applicant and admit fields empty.
Method & sources: Each row holds the early decision applicant and admit counts and the full first-year applicant and admit counts from one college's own Common Data Set, as posted in October 2026. The population is first-year applicants at 30 private colleges that run an early decision plan; most rows describe the fall 2025 entering class, and because some documents carry a header year that does not match the class their own figures describe, each row's cycle column names the entering class its numbers are. Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest report an overall rate and leave the early decision fields blank, and Wesleyan and Pomona have no readable Common Data Set, so those six rows carry no early rate. Rows are sorted by early decision rate, lowest first, with the six that report none at the end.
- Columbia Common Data Set 2025-26
- Cornell Common Data Set 2025-26
- Dartmouth Common Data Set 2025-26
- Penn Common Data Set 2025-26
- Duke Common Data Set 2025-26
- Tufts Common Data Set 2025-26
- Boston College Common Data Set 2024-25
- Carnegie Mellon Common Data Set 2025-26 (Section C)
- Lehigh Common Data Set 2025-26
- Swarthmore Common Data Set 2025-26
- Pomona College Common Data Set (Tableau dashboard, not a fetchable document)
- Brown Common Data Set 2025-26 (mirrored copy; Brown's own oir.brown.edu PDF URL could not be located)
- Northwestern Common Data Set 2025-26
- Johns Hopkins Common Data Set 2025-26
- Vanderbilt Common Data Set 2025-26 (xlsx)
- Rice Common Data Set 2025-26
- Emory Common Data Set 2025-26
- Washington University in St. Louis Common Data Set 2025-26
- NYU Common Data Set 2025-26
- Boston University Common Data Set 2025-26
- Northeastern Common Data Set 2024-25 (most recent posted)
- University of Chicago Common Data Set 2025-26
- Wake Forest Common Data Set 2025-26
- Villanova Common Data Set 2025-26
- Tulane Common Data Set 2025-26
- Williams Common Data Set 2025-26 (fetched via archive.org; direct fetch blocked by Cloudflare)
- Amherst Common Data Set, Section C (fetched via archive.org; direct fetch blocked by a bot-verification challenge)
- Claremont McKenna Common Data Set 2025-26
- Middlebury Common Data Set 2024-25
This brief as data: /research/early-decision-vs-regular.json. Free for editorial use with attribution to Test Prep Gurus (High School Reach).
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