Research · College admissions · October 2026

Early decision admit rates beat the overall rate at every college that publishes both

As of October 2026: At all 24 colleges in our table that report both rates, the early decision rate beats the overall rate in the same file. The gap is smallest at Rice: 11.26 percent early against 8.01 percent overall. It is biggest at Tulane: 58.21 percent early against 14.46 percent overall.

The table holds all 30 colleges we checked. Each row shows the early and overall applicant and admit counts the college reports in its own Common Data Set. It does not say who the early applicants were.

Analysis: Test Prep Gurus (High School Reach, highschoolreach.com), October 2026. Figures and the table may be quoted with attribution to Test Prep Gurus.

The findings, in plain English

Every college that reports both rates admits more of its early applicants. That is true at all 24 colleges with both numbers. Johns Hopkins has the lowest early rate: 10.93 percent against 6.11 percent overall. Villanova has the highest: 59.82 percent against 28.14 percent overall. Northeastern has the widest gap: 43.05 percent early against 5.22 percent overall.

The gap is not a bump a student can count on. An early pool is not a small copy of the regular pool. It holds recruited athletes, legacy kids, and students so sure about one college that they promise to enroll if let in. Those students would look strong in any round. So the two rates in a row tell about two different groups. They are not the same kid's odds in two different months.

Four colleges run an early decision plan but report no early numbers. Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest each report an overall rate in the same file. Duke's is 5.24 percent. Chicago's is 4.48 percent. New York University's is 9.06 percent. Wake Forest's is 20.76 percent. All four leave the early decision applicant and admit fields empty. Those cells stay blank rather than carry a guess.

Early decision and overall admit rates, college by college

Sorted by early decision rate, lowest first; the six colleges that report no early rate come last.

CollegeEntering class the figures describeEarly decision applicantsEarly decision admitsEarly decision admit rateAll applicantsAll admitsOverall admit rateCollege's own document
Johns Hopkins University fall 2025 entrants 7,639 835 10.9% 50,259 3,072 6.1% Source
Rice University fall 2025 entrants 5,748 647 11.3% 36,791 2,948 8.0% Source
University of Pennsylvania fall 2025 entrants 9,503 1,266 13.3% 72,544 3,570 4.9% Source
Columbia University fall 2025 entrants 5,868 819 14.0% 59,611 2,946 4.9% Source
Vanderbilt University fall 2025 entrants 6,202 874 14.1% 48,196 2,593 5.4% Source
Swarthmore College fall 2025 entrants 1,281 228 17.8% 12,995 977 7.5% Source
Brown University ED figures: Fall 2024 entering class; totals: Fall 2025 (same CDS 2025-26) 5,062 907 17.9% 42,774 2,710 6.3% Source
Cornell University ED figures: Fall 2024 entering class; totals: Fall 2025 (same CDS 2025-26) 10,057 1,889 18.8% 72,523 6,077 8.4% Source
Northwestern University fall 2025 entrants 5,939 1,212 20.4% 52,676 3,933 7.5% Source
Carnegie Mellon University fall 2025 entrants 2,680 553 20.6% 34,867 3,859 11.1% Source
Dartmouth College fall 2025 entrants 3,552 768 21.6% 28,230 1,699 6.0% Source
Claremont McKenna College fall 2025 entrants 978 216 22.1% 6,939 655 9.4% Source
Emory University fall 2025 entrants 4,728 1,049 22.2% 37,561 3,869 10.3% Source
Amherst College fall 2024 entering class 971 216 22.2% 15,819 1,222 7.7% Source
Williams College fall 2025 entrants 964 256 26.6% 15,520 1,336 8.6% Source
Washington University in St. Louis fall 2025 entrants 4,934 1,333 27.0% 33,283 3,968 11.9% Source
Middlebury College fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) 1,341 409 30.5% 12,540 1,348 10.8% Source
Boston University fall 2025 entrants 6,907 2,165 31.4% 76,776 9,853 12.8% Source
Tufts University fall 2025 entrants 3,344 1,071 32.0% 33,395 3,612 10.8% Source
Boston College fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) 4,288 1,434 33.5% 34,779 5,632 16.2% Source
Northeastern University fall 2024 entrants (CDS 2024-25) 3,466 1,492 43.0% 98,425 5,133 5.2% Source
Lehigh University fall 2025 entrants 2,040 966 47.4% 19,342 5,601 29.0% Source
Tulane University fall 2025 entrants 2,077 1,209 58.2% 32,942 4,763 14.5% Source
Villanova University fall 2025 entrants 1,680 1,005 59.8% 25,841 7,272 28.1% Source
University of Chicago fall 2025 entrants — — — 45,533 2,039 4.5% Source
Duke University fall 2025 totals; ED counts left blank in CDS 2025-26 — — — 55,541 2,910 5.2% Source
New York University fall 2025 entrants — — — 114,125 10,340 9.1% Source
Wake Forest University ED dates: Fall 2024; ED counts left blank in CDS 2025-26 — — — 19,600 4,068 20.8% Source
Pomona College — — — — — — — Source
Wesleyan University — — — — — — — —

First-year applicants at 30 private colleges that run an early decision plan, as each college's own Common Data Set reports them in October 2026. The early counts come from the section on early decision; the overall counts are the same document's full first-year applicant and admit totals. Most rows describe the fall 2025 entering class, but some documents carry a header year that does not match the class their own figures describe, so read each row's cycle column. Admits are not enrollees, and the two rates in a row describe two different groups of applicants. A college that reports no early counts shows a blank, not a zero.

What the two rates in each row actually count

The early rate is the college's own count of early applicants and early admits. The overall rate is the same file's count of every first-year applicant and admit, early round included. So the early students sit inside the overall number. That is why the overall rate is not the same as a regular-round rate.

The year labels need care. Some of these files carry a header year that does not match the class their own numbers describe. Brown's early section is labeled for the fall 2024 class, but its overall totals are fall 2025. Amherst's header says 2025 to 2026, but every number in it is fall 2024. Each row's cycle column names the class its numbers are for. Trust that field over the header.

Where the numbers stop

Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest all confirm an early decision plan and print its dates. But each one leaves the early applicant and admit fields blank. Those four have an overall rate in our table and no early rate.

Wesleyan and Pomona have no readable Common Data Set. Wesleyan's data-set listing page did not open. Pomona posts its Common Data Set as an interactive dashboard, not a file. So neither college has numbers here.

Two rows carry a warning. Middlebury's early admit count of 409 leaves out its February admits. So its 30.5 percent is lower than its true early rate. Northeastern's most recent file is a cycle older than most of the others here.

What a family should do with this

Start with the promise, not the rate. Early decision is binding. A student who gets in must enroll, and the family must accept that college's aid offer with no other offer to compare it to. A family that needs to compare offers should pick early action or regular instead.

Then pick the one college. Early decision works for a single first choice. A student with three equal favorites does not have one. Visit the college. Read the cost estimate from its own net price calculator. Then ask: would the answer still be yes in April?

Use the table for the college your kid wants most. Read its early rate next to its overall rate. Check which class the cycle column names. Then check the college's own page for this year's dates. A rate from last year's class is history, not a forecast.

Questions parents ask

Does early decision really improve my kid's chances?

At all 24 colleges in our table that report both rates, the early decision rate beats the overall rate in the same file.

So why is the higher rate not a straight advantage?

An early pool is not a small copy of the regular pool. It holds recruited athletes, legacy kids, and students so sure about one college that they promise to enroll if let in.

Why do some colleges have no early decision rate here?

Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest each report an overall rate in the same file. Duke's is 5.24 percent. Chicago's is 4.48 percent. New York University's is 9.06 percent. Wake Forest's is 20.76 percent. All four leave the early decision applicant and admit fields empty.

Method & sources: Each row holds the early decision applicant and admit counts and the full first-year applicant and admit counts from one college's own Common Data Set, as posted in October 2026. The population is first-year applicants at 30 private colleges that run an early decision plan; most rows describe the fall 2025 entering class, and because some documents carry a header year that does not match the class their own figures describe, each row's cycle column names the entering class its numbers are. Duke, New York University, the University of Chicago and Wake Forest report an overall rate and leave the early decision fields blank, and Wesleyan and Pomona have no readable Common Data Set, so those six rows carry no early rate. Rows are sorted by early decision rate, lowest first, with the six that report none at the end.

This brief as data: /research/early-decision-vs-regular.json. Free for editorial use with attribution to Test Prep Gurus (High School Reach).

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