Connecting Waters Charter Sch

Waterford · Stanislaus County · Public

Public Stanislaus County ~57 seniors CDS 5075572…

Data Year

Compare with peers

Most similar nearby schools

Waterford High School → Hughson High School → Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley → Riverbank High School → Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy → Compare all similar →

🎯Top 5% Attendance (lowest chronic absenteeism) in CA 🎯Top 5 Attendance (lowest chronic absenteeism) in Stanislaus

📋 At a glance

Programs & features

Program details not reported to CRDC

Academic signals

Academic signals not yet ingested for this school

Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.

🎓 Where grads go

7.0% UC Reach — top-6 UC admits per 100 seniors in the Class of 2025. Counts each campus admit, so multi-admits count more than once.

UC admits by campus · Class of 2025

UCD

4 admitted

Source: University of California Office of the President, Admissions by Source School. Full campus-by-campus breakdown below.

💡

How Connecting Waters Charter Sch compares for families

Real college outcomes data available below.

▸ Statewide7.0% UC Reach — 11.1 points below the California median of 18.1%.
▸ Locally🎯 Top 5% in California on Attendance (lowest chronic absenteeism) — plus 1 more top-rank.
▸ vs Similar SchoolsTrails the peer median (7.0% UC Reach vs 10.6% median) across the 5 most similar nearby schools.

For Parents

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SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025

Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.

ELA — met or exceeded

n = 69

52.2%

incl. 15.9% exceeded

+2.5 pts above Stanislaus County median (49.7%) · CA median 54.3% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 79.3%

Math — met or exceeded

n = 69

13.0%

incl. 7.2% exceeded

-6.9 pts vs. Stanislaus County median (19.9%) · CA median 21.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 53.6%

Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.

Student composition — 2025-26

HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.

Race / ethnicity

White 45% +6.5

Hispanic / Latino 35% -6.4

Asian 10% +1.1

Two or more 8%

Black / African Am. 1%

Filipino 0%

Not reported 0%

Program subgroups

Students w/ disabilities 56% -5.2

Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.

Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25

Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.

Chronic absent

2.6%

7 of 273 students

Low and stable absenteeism — students are engaged and showing up. The leading indicator is healthy.

Stanislaus County median

22.2% · school is better than 93% of 30 HS

Statewide median

22.9%

Chronic absenteeism by year (raw %)

Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).

Enrollment trend & projection

Total enrollment (9–12)

2,175 (2018) → 697 (2026)

-68.0%

Grade 12 (graduating class)

166 (2018) → 57 (2026)

-65.7%

If this trend holds (-12.9%/yr, Total enrollment)

At per-pupil funding of $ / student:

Horizon	Projected Total enrollment	Change	Funding impact / yr
1 yr (2027)	~607	-90	$0
3 yr (2029)	~461	-236	$0
5 yr (2031)	~350	-347	$0

Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.

Connecting Waters Charter Sch — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot

Public · Waterford · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools

▸On UC Reach, Connecting Waters Charter Sch sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 7): 7% vs. a peer median of 11%.
▸Its UC Reach has risen 2 points since 2018.
▸Senior-class enrollment is down 66% (166→57 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +22%.
▸At its recent rate (-13.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~455 by 2029 — about 242 fewer students than today.

Enrollment projection

697 students (2026)

→

~455 projected (2029)

at -13.3%/yr

That's about 242 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.

Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.

Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools

School	Type	Size	UC Reach	Enroll. trend
Connecting Waters Charter Sch	Public	697	7.0%	-66%
Peer-group median			10.6%	+22%
Waterford High School	Public	578	2.4%	+36%
Hughson High School	Public	902	12.2%	+55%
Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley	Public	747	—	+1633%
Riverbank High School	Public	826	11.8%	+23%
Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy	Public	654	—	+191%
Delhi High School	Public	716	25.3%	-15%
Hilmar High School	Public	700	9.0%	+21%
Stanislaus Alternative Charter	Public	565	—	-69%
Escalon High School	Public	776	9.4%	-5%
Keyes To Learning Charter	Public	343	—	-15%

UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →

Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25

Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.

Critical

Compounding decline on both vectors.

Enrollment -65.7% vs. county +2.3% AND stability (74.9%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.

-65.7% school enrollment (2018–2026)

+2.3% Stanislaus County baseline

-68.0pp gap vs. county

74.9% retention (county median 87.8%)

Enrollment — indexed to 100 at 2018

Stability rate by year (raw %)

Stability rate

74.9%

212 of 283 students

71 of 283 students who enrolled at Connecting Waters Charter Sch this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (25.1% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.

Stanislaus County median

87.8% · school is in the 32nd percentile of 31 HS

Statewide median

87.2% · in the 26th percentile of 1,688 HS

Stability by student group

Socio. disadvantaged (519) 74.0%

White (401) 80.0%

Hispanic / Latino (321) 71.3%

Students w/ disabilities (120) 76.7%

Two or more races (85) 76.5%

Asian (74) 74.3%

Nearest peer high schools

Waterford High School 89.4% Hughson High School 91.9% Connecting Waters Charter School - Central Valley 93.5% Riverbank High School 91.6% Aspire Vanguard College Preparatory Academy 90.8%

Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.

📊 Key takeaway · Class of 2025

Connecting Waters Charter Sch sent 10 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 40.0% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 7.0% — 11.1 percentage points below the California median of 18.1%, higher than 7% of California high schools..

University of California outcomes · Class of 2025

UC Reach ⓘ

4 admits / 57 seniors
-3.6 pp vs. peer median (10.6%) · Ranked #6 of 7 similar schools

5-year trend

2018 · 4.8% 2025 · 7.0%

Where this sits on the California curve

CA median
18.1%

Peer median
10.6%

Top 10%
51.2%

This school
7.0%

0%50%100%

CA median 18.1% Top 10% ≥ 51.2% This school 7.0%

Higher than 7% of California high schools (978 ranked, ≥50 seniors)

📊 What this number means

Connecting Waters Charter Sch's UC Reach of 7.0% is below the California median (18.1%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 51.2% or higher.

Overall, Connecting Waters Charter Sch's UC Reach is higher than 7% of California high schools (978 ranked).

UC Application Reach ⓘ

17.5%

10 applications

In context: CA median 74.9% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 241.0% · higher than 2% of CA HS.

UC Admit Rate ⓘ

40.0%

4 / 10 applications

In context: CA median 26.1% · Top 10% statewide ≥ 40.5% · higher than 90% of CA HS.

UC Yield Rate ⓘ

N/A

None enrolled of 4 admitted

Yield vs. Enrollment Reach: Yield answers "of UC admits, what % chose UC?" — denominator is just the admits. A small admitted cohort can post a low yield even when the school sends a healthy share of its class to UC.

UC Enrollment Reach ⓘ

N/A

None enrollees / 57 seniors

Enrollment Reach vs. Yield: Reach answers "of the whole senior class, what % ended up at UC?" — denominator is everyone. High Yield with low Enrollment Reach is common at elite privates: most admits matriculate, but the school sends most of its class to non-UC selective colleges.

A-G Completion ⓘ

18%

10 of 56 graduates · 2024-25 cohort

In context: CA median 55.9% · -38.0 pp vs. median · Stanislaus Co. 41.3%.

Selective UC Reach (UCSD, UCSB, UCI, UCD) ⓘ

N/A

Elite UC Reach (UCB + UCLA) ⓘ

N/A

Senior Class Size ⓘ

CDE grade 12 (exact)

Total School Enrollment ⓘ

776

All grades · CDE Census Day

Avg. Applicant GPA · top-6 UCs ⓘ

4.11

UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA

Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.

🎯 Who's actually getting into UC from Connecting Waters Charter Sch

Campus	4.00+ GPA	3.70–3.99 GPA	3.30–3.69 GPA	< 3.30 GPA
UC Berkeley	Real shot	Long odds	Filtered out	Filtered out
UC Santa Barbara	Strong shot	Real shot	Long odds	Filtered out
UC Davis	Strong shot	Strong shot	Real shot	Filtered out

Strong shot = ≥30% statewide admit rate at this band · Real shot = 10–29% · Moderate = 5–9% · Long odds = 1–4% · Filtered out = under 1%. Tiers map this school's likely outcomes by GPA tier using statewide CA admit rates from UCOP 2025.

The numbers behind it

Campus	Applicant GPA	Admit GPA	Lift ⓘ	Admit rate	vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ
UC Berkeley (2021)	4.16	4.29	+0.14	83.3%	Peers +0.15 · matches
UC Santa Barbara (2021)	4.30	4.30	0.00	100.0%	—
UC Davis (2018)	3.75	4.18	+0.44	38.5%	Peers +0.36 · steeper

📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)

GPA band	UCB	UCLA	UCSD	UCSB	UCI	UCD
4.00+	17.0%	15.1%	45.2%	62.3%	46.3%	65.9%
3.70–3.99	3.1%	1.6%	9.3%	17.6%	17.0%	31.1%
3.30–3.69	0.8%	0.5%	1.5%	2.8%	2.4%	10.3%
3.00–3.29	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	1.9%
< 3.00	0.7%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.7%

How we infer the tier labels: Each tier comes from the statewide CA admit rate at that GPA band at that UC. The "vs peers" column compares this school's lift (admit GPA − applicant GPA) to the average lift at ~100–300 other CA schools with similar applicant pool GPA. What this isn't: a guarantee. UC comprehensive review weighs essays, course rigor, demographics, and context-of-opportunity beyond GPA. A 3.9 with strong context can land an admit; a 4.0 with weak essays can be denied. Use as a baseline expectation, not a verdict. Per-campus year is shown when it differs from the headline year (UCOP doesn't always publish admit-GPA for every campus every year).

UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025

UC Admit Rate %

UC Reach % (where available)

UC Admits (count, right axis)

Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.

Campus Breakdown — 2025

Campus	Applicants	Admits	Enrollees	Admit Rate	UC Reach	Yield	Avg GPA (App)	Avg GPA (Adm)
UC Berkeley → Elite	5	—^†	—^†	—^†	—^†	—	4.11	—^†
UC Davis →	5	4	—^†	80.0%	7.0%	—	4.11	—^†

† = UCOP-suppressed (count below 3 students, hidden for privacy — actual value is 0, 1, or 2, not necessarily zero). Campus-level totals may count one student admitted to multiple UC campuses more than once; Admit Volume metrics are not the same as UC Reach, which requires unique-student counts. See methodology →

What This Means

A relatively small share of the senior class is entering the UC application pipeline. This may signal limited A-G completion, UC awareness gaps, or counseling capacity constraints. Broadening access is the highest-leverage opportunity for this school.

Fewer than 15% of seniors are earning UC admission. This may reflect a high non-UC college-going rate, significant A-G completion gaps, or an early-stage UC pipeline. A deeper review of A-G readiness and counseling capacity is warranted.

Note: admit counts used here are campus-level totals. A student admitted to both UCLA and UCSD is counted twice. When UCOP unique-student data becomes available it will be loaded automatically and the labels will update.

Compare with other schools → See Stanislaus County rankings →

For School Admins

The full Reach Report for Connecting Waters Charter Sch

A board- and LCAP-ready intelligence brief: your enrollment retention and college outcomes, benchmarked against your closest competitors, with a 5-year forecast, concrete steps to act on, and the rigor + outcomes story you can share with your families. Built from primary public data — prepared for you, not auto-generated.

✓Your UC Reach (7.0%) ranked head-to-head against your closest competitor schools
✓Your 5-year enrollment forecast (currently -12.9%/yr) with the revenue at stake
✓Student-retention benchmarking vs your county median — and the LCAP evidence to back your goals

See a sample report →