Forest Charter School
Nevada City · Nevada County · Public
Compare with peers
Most similar nearby schools
Sierra Academy Of Expeditionary Learning → William & Marian Ghidotti High → John Muir Charter → Bitney Prep High → Foresthill High School → Compare all similar →📋 At a glance
- 🎓 AP rigor: Bottom 6% of US high schools
- 📝 SAT/ACT participation: Bottom 15% by test-taker volume
- 🎓 4-yr grad rate: 92% (60th percentile nationally)
Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.
🎓 Where grads go
UC admits by campus · Class of 2025
Source: University of California Office of the President, Admissions by Source School. Full campus-by-campus breakdown below.
How Forest Charter School compares for families
Real college outcomes data available below.
- ▸ Statewide5.0% UC Reach — 13.1 points below the California median of 18.1%.
- ▸ vs Similar SchoolsRight at the peer median (7.1% UC Reach) across the 5 most similar nearby schools.
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SAT / ACT participation
CRDC federal data · 2020-21Bottom 15% by test-taker volume
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). Volume — not score — is what's reported here. A higher count means more students at this school are entering the college admissions pipeline. Note: 2020-21 was COVID-disrupted; some districts (especially those that stayed remote longer) report unusually low or zero takers.
🎓 4-year graduation rate · federal EDFacts
What % of students graduate on time?
60th percentile nationally
Source: federal EDFacts ACGR (Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate), 2019 vintage via Urban Institute. EDFacts publishes a range (low-high) to preserve privacy on small cohorts; we display the midpoint.
🏛️ Federal Title I context
Title I Schoolwide eligible
≥40% FRPL — qualifies for Title I Schoolwide program
40-74% of students qualify for free/reduced lunch. The district can use Title I funds across the whole school under federal Schoolwide Program rules.
Source: NCES Common Core of Data, free/reduced-price lunch eligibility. The actual Title I designation is a district decision and may differ from eligibility — but the federal eligibility math is what we show here. We don't claim to assert whether the district formally chose to enroll this school in Title I.
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 4.7 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-2.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~277 | -7 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~263 | -21 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~250 | -34 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Forest Charter School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Nevada City · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Forest Charter School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #3 of 4): 5 vs. a peer median of 7.
- ▸Its UC Reach Score has risen 2 points since 2024.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 9% (92→84 from 2024 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +9%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-2.5%/yr), enrollment projects to ~263 by 2029 — about 21 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 21 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach Score | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Charter School | Public | 284 | 5 | -9% |
| Peer-group median | 7 | +9% | ||
| Sierra Academy Of Expeditionary Learning | Public | 176 | — | +26% |
| William & Marian Ghidotti High | Public | 167 | — | +12% |
| John Muir Charter | Public | 543 | — | -90% |
| Bitney Prep High | Public | 93 | — | +35% |
| Foresthill High School | Public | 204 | 7 | +5% |
| American River Charter | Public | 274 | — | +186% |
| Colfax High School | Public | 602 | 26 | -4% |
| Silver Springs High (continuation) | Public | 94 | — | -29% |
| Marysville Charter Academy For The Arts | Public | 378 | — | +26% |
| Bear River High School | Public | 653 | 5 | -15% |
UC Reach Score = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100 when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Nevada County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Enrollment -8.7% vs. county +9.4% AND stability (74.8%) below the county median. Recruitment and retention both under pressure — likely a foundational rather than tactical problem.
84 of 333 students who enrolled at Forest Charter School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (25.2% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
Forest Charter School sent 15 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 26.7% were admitted, producing a UC Reach Score of 5 — 13 points below the California median of 18, higher than 3% of California high schools..
-2 pts vs. peer median (7) · Ranked #3 of 4 similar schools
18
7
51
5
Higher than 3% of California high schools (978 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Forest Charter School's UC Reach Score of 5 is below the California median (18). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 51 or higher.
Overall, Forest Charter School's UC Reach is higher than 3% of California high schools (978 ranked).
UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA
Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.
| Campus | 4.00+ GPA | 3.70–3.99 GPA | 3.30–3.69 GPA | < 3.30 GPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | Strong shot | Strong shot | Real shot | Filtered out |
The numbers behind it
| Campus | Applicant GPA | Admit GPA | Lift ⓘ | Admit rate | vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis (2023) | 4.27 | 4.31 | +0.04 | 71.4% | Peers +0.05 · matches |
📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)
| GPA band | UCB | UCLA | UCSD | UCSB | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00+ | 17.0% | 15.1% | 45.2% | 62.3% | 46.3% | 65.9% |
| 3.70–3.99 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| 3.30–3.69 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10.3% |
| 3.00–3.29 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| < 3.00 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
UC Outcomes Trend — 2019–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach Score | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego → Selective | 5 | 4 | —† | 80.0% | 5 | — | 4.17 | —† |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 5 | —† | —† | —† | —† | — | 4.02 | —† |
| UC Davis → | 5 | —† | —† | —† | —† | — | 4.02 | —† |
What This Means
For School Admins
The full Reach Report for Forest Charter School
A board- and LCAP-ready intelligence brief: your enrollment retention and college outcomes, benchmarked against your closest competitors, with a 5-year forecast, concrete steps to act on, and the rigor + outcomes story you can share with your families. Built from primary public data — prepared for you, not auto-generated.
- ✓Your UC Reach Score (5) ranked head-to-head against your closest competitor schools
- ✓Your 5-year enrollment forecast (currently -2.5%/yr) with the revenue at stake
- ✓Student-retention benchmarking vs your county median — and the LCAP evidence to back your goals