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Most similar nearby schools
Keyes To Learning Charter → Roselawn High → Fusion Charter → Denair Charter Academy → Waterford High School → Compare all similar →📋 At a glance
- 📚 5 AP courses offered — Strong
- 🎓 AP rigor: 52th percentile nationally
- 📝 SAT/ACT participation: Bottom 4% by test-taker volume
- 🎓 4-yr grad rate: 92% (60th percentile nationally)
Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.
🎓 Where grads go
UC admits by campus · Class of 2025
Source: University of California Office of the President, Admissions by Source School. Full campus-by-campus breakdown below.
How Denair High School compares for families
Real college outcomes data available below.
- ▸ Statewide3.4% UC Reach — 14.7 points below the California median of 18.1%.
- ▸ vs Similar SchoolsTrails the peer median (3.4% UC Reach vs 13.8% median) across the 5 most similar nearby schools.
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🎓 Academic rigor
AP + advanced-course offerings
Strong — solid AP program + advanced courses
52th percentile nationally
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). CRDC reports what's offered + enrolled — it doesn't collect AP exam pass rates (College Board owns that data and doesn't release it school-level).
SAT / ACT participation
CRDC federal data · 2020-21Bottom 4% by test-taker volume
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). Volume — not score — is what's reported here. A higher count means more students at this school are entering the college admissions pipeline. Note: 2020-21 was COVID-disrupted; some districts (especially those that stayed remote longer) report unusually low or zero takers.
🎓 4-year graduation rate · federal EDFacts
What % of students graduate on time?
60th percentile nationally
Source: federal EDFacts ACGR (Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate), 2019 vintage via Urban Institute. EDFacts publishes a range (low-high) to preserve privacy on small cohorts; we display the midpoint.
🏛️ Federal Title I context
High-poverty school
Title I Schoolwide eligible
≥75% of students qualify for free/reduced lunch. These schools qualify for the highest tier of federal Title I funding and typically receive extra wraparound services. Academic outcomes vary widely — check the state assessment + grad-rate tiles.
Source: NCES Common Core of Data, free/reduced-price lunch eligibility. The actual Title I designation is a district decision and may differ from eligibility — but the federal eligibility math is what we show here. We don't claim to assert whether the district formally chose to enroll this school in Title I.
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 15.8 pp since 2016-17. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (+1.5%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~318 | +5 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~327 | +14 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~337 | +24 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Denair High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Denair · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Denair High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 3): 3% vs. a peer median of 14%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has slipped 3 points since 2018 — worth watching.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 8% (67→72 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -11%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+2.3%/yr); projects to ~335 by 2029.
Enrollment projection
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denair High School | Public | 313 | 3.4% | +8% |
| Peer-group median | 13.8% | -11% | ||
| Keyes To Learning Charter | Public | 343 | — | -15% |
| Roselawn High | Public | 190 | — | +20% |
| Fusion Charter | Public | 170 | — | +21% |
| Denair Charter Academy | Public | 123 | — | -68% |
| Waterford High School | Public | 578 | 2.4% | +36% |
| Argus High (continuation) | Public | 163 | — | -30% |
| Merced Scholars Charter Sch | Public | 299 | — | -14% |
| Delhi High School | Public | 716 | 25.3% | -15% |
| Yosemite High (continuation) | Public | 295 | — | -8% |
| Stanislaus Military Academy At Teel | Public | 153 | — | +10% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Stanislaus County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Denair High School outperformed Stanislaus County on enrollment (school +7.5% vs. county +2.3%) AND maintains 91.5% stability. Replicable model — worth documenting what's working. Chronic absenteeism is rising (27.7%, +15.8 pts since 2016-17) — a watch signal worth monitoring as a leading indicator.
27 of 317 students who enrolled at Denair High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (8.5% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
District financial profile — Denair Unified (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 47.7%
Federal: 11.4%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Denair Unified as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Denair High School sent 14 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 21.4% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 3.4% — 14.7 percentage points below the California median of 18.1%, higher than 2% of California high schools..
-10.4 pp vs. peer median (13.8%) · Ranked #2 of 3 similar schools
18.1%
13.8%
51.2%
3.4%
Higher than 2% of California high schools (978 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Denair High School's UC Reach of 3.4% is below the California median (18.1%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 51.2% or higher.
Overall, Denair High School's UC Reach is higher than 2% of California high schools (978 ranked).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2018–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 6 | —† | —† | —† | —† | — | 3.64 | —† |
| UC Davis → | 8 | 3 | —† | 37.5% | 3.4% | — | 3.55 | —† |
What This Means
For School Admins
The full Reach Report for Denair High School
A board- and LCAP-ready intelligence brief: your enrollment retention and college outcomes, benchmarked against your closest competitors, with a 5-year forecast, concrete steps to act on, and the rigor + outcomes story you can share with your families. Built from primary public data — prepared for you, not auto-generated.
- ✓Your UC Reach (3.4%) ranked head-to-head against your closest competitor schools
- ✓Your 5-year enrollment forecast (currently 1.5%/yr) with the revenue at stake
- ✓Student-retention benchmarking vs your county median — and the LCAP evidence to back your goals