Aspire Pacific Academy

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Aspire Pacific Academy sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #8 of 11): 22 vs. a peer median of 32.
• ▸Aspire Pacific Academy's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 35 in 2024 to 22 in 2025 — a 12-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Aspire Pacific Academy is admitting at roughly +5 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.823) alone would predict (25% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 22% (97→76 from 2019 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
• ▸At its recent rate (-0.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~533 by 2029 — about 6 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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