Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Bear Creek High School
Public · Stockton · San Joaquin County · 1,977 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
14
Below the CA median
below the state median
Higher than 37% of California high schools
+5.9 pp above peer median (8)
· Ranked #2 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2021 · 6
2025 · 14
+2%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-19.8 pp
vs. San Joaquin County baseline (+22%)
~1912
5-yr projected enrollment (65 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Bear Creek High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 10): 14 vs. a peer median of 8.
- ▸Its UC Reach Score has risen 7 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Bear Creek High School is admitting at roughly +22 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.895) alone would predict (46% actual vs. 24% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 2% (459→468 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1912 by 2029 — about 65 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cesar Chavez High School | Public | 8 | -6% |
| Tokay High School | Public | 8 | -12% |
| Lodi High School | Public | 12 | +0% |
| Ronald E Mcnair High School | Public | 13 | +2% |
| Franklin High | Public | 7 | +6% |
| Stagg Senior High | Public | 5 | +13% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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