Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Buhach Colony High School
Public · Atwater · Merced County · 1,670 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
6
Below the CA median
below the state median
Higher than 4% of California high schools
-6.8 pp vs. peer median (12)
· Ranked #11 of 11 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2021 · 9
2025 · 6
-9%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-16.3 pp
vs. Merced County baseline (+8%)
~1605
5-yr projected enrollment (65 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Buhach Colony High School sits near the bottom of its similar-school group (ranked #11 of 11): 6 vs. a peer median of 12.
- ▸Buhach Colony High School's UC Reach Score has stepped down from a peak of 15 in 2018 to 6 in 2025 — a 10-point decline worth tracking.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Buhach Colony High School is admitting at roughly +6 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.841) alone would predict (35% actual vs. 29% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 9% (416→380 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +9%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-1.3%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1605 by 2029 — about 65 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atwater High School | Public | 10 | +27% |
| Merced High School | Public | 12 | +18% |
| El Capitan High | Public | 20 | +10% |
| Golden Valley High | Public | 15 | +14% |
| Livingston High School | Public | 10 | +1% |
| Pacheco High School | Public | 8 | +2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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