Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Grace M Davis High School
Public · Modesto · Stanislaus County · 1,966 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
12
Below the CA median
below the state median
Higher than 25% of California high schools
-1.4 pp vs. peer median (13)
· Ranked #6 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2021 · 8
2025 · 12
+7%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
+4.5 pp
vs. Stanislaus County baseline (+2%)
~2020
5-yr projected enrollment (+0.9%/yr)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Grace M Davis High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #6 of 10): 12 vs. a peer median of 13.
- ▸Its UC Reach Score has risen 4 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Grace M Davis High School is admitting at roughly +6 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.738) alone would predict (28% actual vs. 22% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 7% (440→470 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of +5%.
- ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.9%/yr); projects to ~2020 by 2029.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Downey High School | Public | 9 | +28% |
| Peter Johansen High | Public | — | +20% |
| Fred C Beyer High School | Public | 12 | +2% |
| James C Enochs High School | Public | 26 | -2% |
| Joseph a Gregori High School | Public | 20 | +6% |
| Modesto High School | Public | 13 | +4% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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