Hercules High School

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Hercules High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 11): 24 vs. a peer median of 14.
• ▸Hercules High School's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 52 in 2024 to 24 in 2025 — a 27-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Hercules High School is admitting at roughly -8 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.861) alone would predict (16% actual vs. 24% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 23% (240→184 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
• ▸At its recent rate (-2.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~766 by 2029 — about 51 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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