Homestead High School

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Homestead High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 11): 55 vs. a peer median of 44.
• ▸Homestead High School's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 73 in 2020 to 55 in 2025 — a 18-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Homestead High School is admitting at roughly -5 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (4.043) alone would predict (18% actual vs. 23% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (608→604 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of +2%.
• ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Santa Clara County's senior population shrank 6% over the same window — Homestead High School only shrank 1%. So Homestead High School picked up about 6 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
• ▸At its recent rate (-1.4%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2099 by 2029 — about 91 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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