Kearny College Connections

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Kearny College Connections sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #4 of 7): 19 vs. a peer median of 18.
• ▸Kearny College Connections's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 55 in 2021 to 19 in 2025 — a 36-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Kearny College Connections is admitting at roughly +19 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.921) alone would predict (40% actual vs. 21% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 8% (91→84 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of -6%.
• ▸At its recent rate (-2.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~294 by 2029 — about 25 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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