Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Lincoln High
Public · San Joaquin County · 2,844 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
14
Below the CA median
below the state median
Higher than 38% of California high schools
+6.0 pp above peer median (8)
· Ranked #1 of 10 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2021 · 16
2025 · 14
+1%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
-20.8 pp
vs. San Joaquin County baseline (+22%)
~2831
5-yr projected enrollment (13 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Lincoln High sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 10): 14 vs. a peer median of 8.
- ▸Its UC Reach Score has risen 7 points since 2018.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Lincoln High is admitting at roughly +9 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.877) alone would predict (29% actual vs. 20% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 1% (681→688 from 2018 to 2026), tracking the peer-group median of +2%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2831 by 2029 — about 13 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edison Senior High School | Public | 8 | -2% |
| Edison High | Public | — | +35% |
| Bear Creek High School | Public | 14 | +2% |
| Cesar Chavez High School | Public | 8 | -6% |
| Franklin High | Public | 7 | +6% |
| Tokay High School | Public | 8 | -12% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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