Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 10): 24 vs. a peer median of 16.
• ▸Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School's UC Reach Score has stepped down from a peak of 34 in 2021 to 24 in 2025 — a 10-point decline worth tracking.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School is admitting at roughly +11 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.822) alone would predict (29% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 1% (352→350 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -15%.
• ▸In business terms, this is market-share growth during a market contraction. Los Angeles County's senior population shrank 5% over the same window — Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School only shrank 1%. So Marco Antonio Firebaugh High School picked up about 5 percentage points of relative share — families chose it over the alternatives even as the overall pool got smaller. That's overperforming the market in a shrinking market.
• ▸At its recent rate (-0.7%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1604 by 2029 — about 35 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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