Middle College High

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Middle College High sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 2): 81 vs. a peer median of 10.
• ▸Middle College High's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 92 in 2024 to 81 in 2025 — a 10-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Middle College High is admitting at roughly +12 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.912) alone would predict (31% actual vs. 19% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 12% (66→58 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -16%.
• ▸Enrollment has been growing (+0.1%/yr); projects to ~278 by 2029.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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