Mission San Jose High School

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Mission San Jose High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 10): 70 vs. a peer median of 31.
• ▸Mission San Jose High School's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 123 in 2020 to 70 in 2025 — a 53-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Mission San Jose High School is admitting at roughly -6 percentage points below what its average applicant GPA (3.894) alone would predict (16% actual vs. 21% expected). That's worth understanding — it can reflect grade inflation that UC sees through, weaker holistic-review materials at the margin, or applicants concentrating at more selective campuses than typical. Not a verdict; a signal.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 16% (526→440 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -4%.
• ▸At its recent rate (-1.8%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1647 by 2029 — about 93 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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