Murrieta Mesa High School

• ▸On UC Reach Score, Murrieta Mesa High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #7 of 11): 13 vs. a peer median of 14.
• ▸Murrieta Mesa High School's UC Reach Score has stepped down from a peak of 19 in 2018 to 13 in 2025 — a 5-point decline worth tracking.
• ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Murrieta Mesa High School is admitting at roughly +6 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.859) alone would predict (27% actual vs. 21% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
• ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 12% (565→496 from 2018 to 2026), trailing the peer-group median of -4%.
• ▸At its recent rate (-2.2%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1897 by 2029 — about 129 fewer students than today.

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UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology

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