Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Otay Ranch High School
Public · Chula Vista · San Diego County · 2,408 students · Class of 2025
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
22
Around the CA median
near the state median
Higher than 60% of California high schools
On the peer median (21)
· Ranked #5 of 11 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2021 · 24
2025 · 22
-7%
Senior-class enrollment (2018–2026)
+0.7 pp
vs. San Diego County baseline (-8%)
~2400
5-yr projected enrollment (8 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Otay Ranch High School sits in the middle of its similar-school group (ranked #5 of 11): 22 vs. a peer median of 21.
- ▸Otay Ranch High School's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 33 in 2024 to 22 in 2025 — a 11-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 7% (693→644 from 2018 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of -21%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.1%/yr), enrollment projects to ~2400 by 2029 — about 8 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympian High School | Public | 30 | -18% |
| Eastlake High School | Public | 21 | -30% |
| Bonita Vista High School | Public | 29 | -23% |
| Sweetwater High | Public | 15 | -25% |
| San Ysidro High School | Public | 23 | -29% |
| Steele Canyon High School | Public | 15 | -2% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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