Enrollment & Outcomes Scorecard
Pacific Bay Christian School
Private · Other religious · Pacifica · San Mateo County · 178 students · Class of 2025
★ Top 5% UC Reach
UC Reach Score · Class of 2025
77
Excellent
top 6% in California
Higher than 98% of California high schools
+52.6 pp above peer median (25)
· Ranked #1 of 8 similar schools
5-year UC Reach Score
2020 · 25
2025 · 77
-31%
Senior-class enrollment (2020–2025)
-29.0 pp
vs. San Mateo County baseline (-2%)
~144
5-yr projected enrollment (34 fewer than today)
- ▸On UC Reach Score, Pacific Bay Christian School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #1 of 8): 77 vs. a peer median of 25.
- ▸Pacific Bay Christian School's UC Reach Score has declined meaningfully from a peak of 90 in 2024 to 77 in 2025 — a 12-point drop that warrants attention. Multi-year UC Reach declines of this size often signal something specific (leadership change, comp-program shift, demographic move) rather than year-to-year noise. This is the kind of trajectory an Enrollment Trend Audit unpacks.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is down 31% (32→22 from 2020 to 2025), trailing the peer-group median of -8%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-6.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~144 by 2028 — about 34 fewer students than today.
Most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | UC Reach Score | Enroll. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jewish Community Hs of the Bay | Private · Other religious | 19 | +46% |
| San Francisco Christian School | Private · Other religious | — | -60% |
| Stuart Hall High School | Private · Catholic | 36 | +0% |
| Convent of the Sacred Heart Hs | Private · Catholic | 17 | +0% |
| Immaculate Conception Academy | Private · Catholic | 66 | -31% |
| Kehillah Jewish High School | Private · Other religious | — | +17% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class. Sources: UCOP Admissions by Source School, CDE enrollment, IRS Form 990, NCES F-33. Reach — by Test Prep Gurus · Methodology
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