Rancho San Juan High School
Salinas · Monterey County · Salinas Union High · Public
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Most similar nearby schools
Everett Alvarez High School → North Salinas High School → North Monterey County High Sch → Salinas High School → Alisal High School → Compare all similar →📋 At a glance
- 📚 5 AP courses offered — Moderate
- 🎓 AP rigor: Bottom 47% of US high schools
Composed from federal CRDC offerings, EDFacts ACGR, and other public data. Full breakdowns below.
🎓 Where grads go
UC admits by campus · Class of 2025
Source: University of California Office of the President, Admissions by Source School. Full campus-by-campus breakdown below.
How Rancho San Juan High School compares for families
Above-average college outcomes statewide.
- ▸ Statewide29.0% UC Reach — 10.9 points above the California median of 18.1%. Ahead of 73% of California high schools.
- ▸ Locally🎯 Top 9 in Monterey County on Attendance (lowest chronic absenteeism).
- ▸ vs Similar SchoolsBeats the peer median (29.0% UC Reach vs 16.5% median) across the 5 most similar nearby schools.
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🎓 Academic rigor
AP + advanced-course offerings
Moderate — some AP / advanced course access
Bottom 47% of US high schools
Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). CRDC reports what's offered + enrolled — it doesn't collect AP exam pass rates (College Board owns that data and doesn't release it school-level).
SAT / ACT participation
CRDC federal data · 2020-21Source: federal Civil Rights Data Collection (CRDC 2020-21). Volume — not score — is what's reported here. A higher count means more students at this school are entering the college admissions pipeline. Note: 2020-21 was COVID-disrupted; some districts (especially those that stayed remote longer) report unusually low or zero takers.
🏛️ Federal Title I context
High-poverty school
Title I Schoolwide eligible
≥75% of students qualify for free/reduced lunch. These schools qualify for the highest tier of federal Title I funding and typically receive extra wraparound services. Academic outcomes vary widely — check the state assessment + grad-rate tiles.
Source: NCES Common Core of Data, free/reduced-price lunch eligibility. The actual Title I designation is a district decision and may differ from eligibility — but the federal eligibility math is what we show here. We don't claim to assert whether the district formally chose to enroll this school in Title I.
SBAC academic outcomes — grade 11, 2025
Share of grade-11 students meeting or exceeding the California standard on Smarter Balanced ELA and Math. This is the academic-readiness signal that pairs with UC Reach (post-grad outcomes), stability (retention), and absenteeism (engagement). Note: statewide median Math is only ~20% — a school at 20% isn't an outlier; one at 45%+ genuinely is.
Source: California Assessment of Student Performance and Progress (CAASPP) Smarter Balanced research files. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥30 tested students.
Student composition — 2025-26
HS grades 9–12 racial/ethnic composition and program subgroups, from CDE Census Day Enrollment. Two-year shift shown when ≥1 pt — surfaces how the community served has changed since 2023-24.
Race / ethnicity
Program subgroups
Source: California Department of Education, Census Day Enrollment 2025-26 (HS grades 9–12). Δ shown when shift is ≥1 pt since 2023-24. Categories below 0.5% omitted.
Chronic absenteeism — 2024-25
Share of students missing 10% or more of expected attendance — the leading indicator that often precedes the demand decline shown above. Families disengaging tend to raise absenteeism first, then formally leave. Basis: grades 9–12.
Absenteeism is up 11.9 pp since 2020-21. A rising absenteeism trend often precedes formal departure — worth investigating which subgroups are driving it.
Source: California Department of Education, Chronic Absenteeism 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 eligible students. CDE didn't publish a usable 2019-20 file (COVID).
Enrollment trend & projection
If this trend holds (-1.3%/yr, Total enrollment)
At per-pupil funding of $ / student:
| Horizon | Projected Total enrollment | Change | Funding impact / yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 yr (2027) | ~1,539 | -20 | $0 |
| 3 yr (2029) | ~1,499 | -60 | $0 |
| 5 yr (2031) | ~1,460 | -99 | $0 |
Straight-line extrapolation of the recent annual rate — a what-if, not a forecast of intent. Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423/ADA). Edit the figure to match your school.
Rancho San Juan High School — Enrollment & Outcomes Snapshot
Public · Salinas · vs. 10 most similar nearby schools
- ▸On UC Reach, Rancho San Juan High School sits near the top of its similar-school group (ranked #2 of 11): 29% vs. a peer median of 16%.
- ▸Its UC Reach has risen 28 points since 2022.
- ▸Across the top-6 UC campuses, Rancho San Juan High School is admitting at roughly +10 percentage points above what its average applicant GPA (3.805) alone would predict (31% actual vs. 21% expected). That's a meaningful signal — it can reflect UC's track record with this school's graduates, students presenting strongly in UC's holistic review (essays, EC's, context), or institutional familiarity helping at the margin. The data can't distinguish which, but the pattern itself is real and worth understanding.
- ▸Senior-class enrollment is up 31% (280→366 from 2022 to 2026), outpacing the peer-group median of +1%.
- ▸At its recent rate (-0.9%/yr), enrollment projects to ~1518 by 2029 — about 41 fewer students than today.
Enrollment projection
That's about 41 fewer students. At per-student funding of $ per student, that's roughly $0 in annual state funding at risk.
Default = California's LCFF base grant for grades 9–12 ($12,423 per ADA) — adjust to your district's actual per-pupil figure. Projection extrapolates the recent annual rate — not a forecast of intent.
Your school vs. its 10 most similar nearby schools
| School | Type | Size | UC Reach | Enroll. trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho San Juan High School | Public | 1559 | 29.0% | +31% |
| Peer-group median | 16.5% | +1% | ||
| Everett Alvarez High School | Public | 1826 | 18.9% | -11% |
| North Salinas High School | Public | 2046 | 11.6% | +15% |
| North Monterey County High Sch | Public | 1169 | 21.8% | +14% |
| Salinas High School | Public | 2356 | 24.2% | -8% |
| Alisal High School | Public | 2811 | 20.1% | +0% |
| Gilroy High School | Public | 1546 | 9.8% | +23% |
| Monterey High School | Public | 1413 | 38.0% | +27% |
| Pajaro Valley Hs | Public | 1270 | 10.9% | -4% |
| Watsonville High School | Public | 2232 | 14.2% | +1% |
| Christopher High School | Public | 1628 | 13.1% | +1% |
UC Reach = top-6 UC admits ÷ senior class (can exceed 100% when students are admitted to multiple campuses). Enrollment trend = first-to-latest grade-12 change on file. Similar schools matched on proximity, size, type. Methodology →
Enrollment stability & demand — 2024-25
Two complementary signals: retention (do students stay once enrolled?) and demand (are families choosing the school?). Read against the Monterey County baseline — the demographic tide is moving every CA HS, so a school's gap vs. county is the actionable signal.
Rancho San Juan High School is recruiting families faster than Monterey County is shrinking (school +30.7% vs. county -5.7%), but 197 students didn't make it to year-end. The recruitment engine works; the mid-year exits are worth understanding.
197 of 1,698 students who enrolled at Rancho San Juan High School this year didn't maintain continuous enrollment (11.6% non-stability). Mid-year transfers, dropouts, and other exits are all counted.
Stability by student group
Nearest peer high schools
Source: California Department of Education, Stability Rate 2024-25. Benchmarks limited to non-virtual public & charter HS with ≥100 cumulative enrollees so by-design-high-churn continuation schools don't dominate the bottom of the distribution. Cumulative enrollment counts every student on the rolls during the year, so it can exceed peak-day enrollment.
District financial profile — Salinas Union High (FY2020)
From 4 years of NCES F-33 filings (the federally-mandated district finance survey). Public schools don't have their own books — the district does. These figures show the financial scale, revenue dependence, instruction-vs-overhead mix, and long-term debt that shape what a school can sustain.
Local: 18.9%
Federal: 10.6%
Source: NCES F-33 Annual Survey of School System Finances (Urban Institute Education Data API). Latest year currently published: FY2020. F-33 is a district-level federal filing — it reflects the Salinas Union High as a whole, not this individual school's books. Revenue mix shows where the district's dollars come from (state aid dominates in CA via LCFF). Instruction share is current expenditure on instruction ÷ total current expenditure (national benchmark ~60%). Long-term debt is end-of-year outstanding (mostly facilities bonds).
Rancho San Juan High School sent 341 applications to the six most selective University of California campuses and 31.4% were admitted, producing a UC Reach of 29.0% — 10.9 percentage points above the California median of 18.1%, higher than 73% of California high schools. The school produces 7.3 UCLA + UC Berkeley admits per 100 seniors.
+12.5 pp above peer median (16.5%) · Ranked #2 of 11 similar schools
18.1%
51.2%
29.0%
Higher than 73% of California high schools (978 ranked, ≥50 seniors)
Rancho San Juan High School's UC Reach of 29.0% is above the California median (18.1%). The top 10% of CA schools achieve 51.2% or higher.
For context, the elite tier (top 1%) clears 97.3% — a gap of 68 pp from where this school sits.
Overall, Rancho San Juan High School's UC Reach is higher than 73% of California high schools (978 ranked).
UC funnel — which kids are getting in at what GPA
Combining the school's applicant pool GPA, admit pool GPA, actual admit rate, and statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, we can read which GPA tiers tend to get in — and which don't.
| Campus | 4.00+ GPA | 3.70–3.99 GPA | 3.30–3.69 GPA | < 3.30 GPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UCLA | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out | Filtered out |
| UC San Diego | Strong shot | Moderate | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Santa Barbara | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Irvine | Strong shot | Real shot | Long odds | Filtered out |
| UC Davis | Strong shot | Strong shot | Real shot | Filtered out |
The numbers behind it
| Campus | Applicant GPA | Admit GPA | Lift ⓘ | Admit rate | vs peer schools @ same GPA ⓘ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley | 3.79 | 4.23 | +0.44 | 30.3% | Peers +0.35 · steeper |
| UCLA | 3.90 | 4.16 | +0.26 | 13.2% | Peers +0.33 · wider |
| UC San Diego | 3.81 | 4.18 | +0.37 | 40.9% | Peers +0.37 · matches |
| UC Santa Barbara | 3.73 | 4.10 | +0.37 | 33.3% | Peers +0.38 · matches |
| UC Irvine | 3.85 | 4.16 | +0.31 | 26.5% | Peers +0.30 · matches |
| UC Davis | 3.75 | 4.09 | +0.35 | 39.4% | Peers +0.34 · matches |
📊 Statewide CA admit rates by individual GPA band, 2025 (for reference)
| GPA band | UCB | UCLA | UCSD | UCSB | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00+ | 17.0% | 15.1% | 45.2% | 62.3% | 46.3% | 65.9% |
| 3.70–3.99 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 17.0% | 31.1% |
| 3.30–3.69 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 10.3% |
| 3.00–3.29 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.9% |
| < 3.00 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
Where Rancho San Juan High School sits vs. all California schools ⓘ
Overall, this school admits its UC applicants 10.4 points above what their GPAs predict (31.4% actual vs. 21.0% expected).
UC Outcomes Trend — 2022–2025
Class size from CDE grade 12 enrollment. Campus-level data — applicant/admit totals may count a student at multiple campuses more than once.
Campus Breakdown — 2025
| Campus | Applicants | Admits | Enrollees | Admit Rate | UC Reach | Yield | Avg GPA (App) | Avg GPA (Adm) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Berkeley → Elite | 66 | 20 | 8 | 30.3% | 5.4% | 40.0% | 3.79 | 4.23 |
| UCLA → Elite | 53 | 7 | —† | 13.2% | 1.9% | — | 3.90 | 4.16 |
| UC San Diego → Selective | 66 | 27 | —† | 40.9% | 7.3% | — | 3.81 | 4.18 |
| UC Santa Barbara → Selective | 36 | 12 | 3 | 33.3% | 3.3% | 25.0% | 3.73 | 4.10 |
| UC Irvine → Selective | 49 | 13 | —† | 26.5% | 3.5% | — | 3.85 | 4.16 |
| UC Davis → | 71 | 28 | 5 | 39.4% | 7.6% | 17.9% | 3.75 | 4.09 |
What This Means
For School Admins
The full Reach Report for Rancho San Juan High School
A board- and LCAP-ready intelligence brief: your enrollment retention and college outcomes, benchmarked against your closest competitors, with a 5-year forecast, concrete steps to act on, and the rigor + outcomes story you can share with your families. Built from primary public data — prepared for you, not auto-generated.
- ✓Your UC Reach (29.0%) ranked head-to-head against your closest competitor schools
- ✓Your 5-year enrollment forecast (currently -1.3%/yr) with the revenue at stake
- ✓Student-retention benchmarking vs your county median — and the LCAP evidence to back your goals